The Penn-Wharton model found in a preliminary analysis that AI could reduce deficits by $400 billion by 2035. But the Congressional Budget Office framed AI and associated investment as wild cards in determining the U.S. fiscal and economic outlook. While the CBO projects AI will enhance total productivity by 1% in the next decade, its most recent budget report conceded that this prediction was “highly uncertain.” If adoption is slow or costs higher than anticipated, it would significantly alter GDP growth and, consequently, government revenue.
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One law professor told the BBC that "the nature of the [Crawford] contract was peculiar", and that because of the "significant uncertainty" at the time it was drawn up, they would have expected to see a shorter one that had a cap on the number of claims processed.